Skip to main content

Posts

RBI Monetary Policy Review – June 5, 2026

   Key Policy Decisions Repo rate unchanged at 5.25% (unanimous vote) SDF rate: 5.00% MSF & Bank Rate: 5.50% Policy stance retained as “Neutral” – MPC retains flexibility to respond to evolving data 🔹 Inflation & Growth Projections (FY27) CPI inflation raised sharply by 50 bps to 5.1% (from 4.6%) Core inflation projected at 4.7% Upside risks from prolonged West Asia conflict, elevated energy prices (crude at $95/barrel assumed), and monsoon uncertainties Real GDP growth moderated to 6.6% (from 6.9%) Quarterly growth estimates also revised downward across all quarters 🔹 Separate Management of Inflation & Currency Unlike many Asian central banks, RBI did not hike rates to defend the rupee Instead, it announced a series of measures to boost dollar inflows while keeping the policy rate focused on inflation 🔹 Key Dollar Inflow Measures Concessional forex swap facility for PSUs raising ECBs (available till Sep 2026) FCNR(B) deposit scheme – RBI bears full hedgi...
Recent posts

India’s GIFT IFSC: Rapidly Evolving into a Global Financial Hub

  India's ambition to become a premier global financial centre is rapidly turning into reality with the evolution of the International Financial Services Centre (IFSC) at Gujarat International Finance Tec-City (GIFT City). Designed as India's gateway to global financial markets, the IFSC at GIFT City is fast becoming a preferred jurisdiction for international financial operations, blending global best practices with India's economic strengths .

Strategic Equity Fund Selection in a Volatile Geopolitical and Economic Environment

  Fund category Equity allocation Rewards Risks Selection Equity Savings 30–40% Moderate risk, defensive, smoother NAV; Lower equity component limits long‑term growth; not suitable when strategy is to increase equity exposure . Not Selected: Equity exposure is only ~30–40%, so it won’t meaningfully participate in equity upside

Shift from Defensive to Accumulation

  Executive Summary:  The data clearly supports  moving from a ‘conservative’ to a ‘moderately aggressive’ stance . While the absolute bottom may not be in, the risk-reward ratio has turned favorably for long-term, disciplined investors. The combination of fair valuations, extreme pessimism (VIX), and robust structural flows (DIIs/SIPs) creates a classic "wall of worry" setup.

RBI Maintains Dovish Stance, Shifts Focus from Inflation to Growth Risks

  As expected, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has retained its dovish stance on liquidity. By stating it “will continue to be proactive in liquidity management,” the central bank signaled a soft policy approach rather than a hard one. Currently, liquidity is so abundant that overnight rates are trading well below the repo rate. Interestingly, the RBI also expressed concern that commercial paper (CP) and certificate of deposit (CD) rates remain elevated, highlighting pockets of tightness even amid surplus liquidity.